Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.182295 0.198345 0.215378 0.234837 0.256499 0.279921 0.307232
2026-02-01 0.151212 0.173385 0.198485 0.229165 0.265872 0.308653 0.362684
2026-02-08 0.131165 0.156016 0.185463 0.223255 0.270946 0.329769 0.408812
2026-02-15 0.117464 0.143774 0.176086 0.219205 0.276027 0.349475 0.453479
2026-02-22 0.109795 0.137794 0.173284 0.222323 0.289532 0.380238 0.515150
2026-03-01 0.101838 0.130504 0.167816 0.220919 0.296194 0.401685 0.565574
2026-03-08 0.094544 0.123365 0.161754 0.217827 0.299731 0.418461 0.610406
2026-03-15 0.087563 0.116055 0.154773 0.212631 0.299411 0.429081 0.646418
2026-03-22 0.084928 0.114482 0.155527 0.218411 0.315541 0.465680 0.727851
2026-03-29 0.082053 0.112316 0.155188 0.222396 0.329074 0.499306 0.808391
2026-04-05 0.078452 0.108836 0.152637 0.222709 0.336670 0.523823 0.875968
2026-04-12 0.073477 0.103034 0.146239 0.216501 0.333054 0.529027 0.908847
2026-04-19 0.068538 0.097120 0.139477 0.209480 0.327906 0.531778 0.938922
2026-04-26 0.064693 0.092666 0.134713 0.205381 0.327419 0.542807 0.986932
2026-05-03 0.060959 0.088176 0.129615 0.200341 0.324811 0.549624 1.027294
2026-05-10 0.057873 0.084521 0.125610 0.196814 0.324512 0.560572 1.077651
2026-05-17 0.056366 0.083250 0.125322 0.199549 0.335682 0.594428 1.182512
2026-05-24 0.054158 0.080743 0.122868 0.198319 0.339354 0.613875 1.258097
2026-05-31 0.051820 0.077908 0.119710 0.195611 0.339954 0.627100 1.321180
2026-06-07 0.049295 0.074652 0.115676 0.191055 0.336585 0.631697 1.364058
2026-06-14 0.048701 0.074529 0.116905 0.196122 0.352481 0.678656 1.520556
2026-06-21 0.047853 0.073936 0.117282 0.199613 0.365492 0.720835 1.672929
2026-06-28 0.046508 0.072441 0.116008 0.199887 0.371880 0.748865 1.792457